Saturday is History, Now let’s Look at Sunday

12 Jul

By Dennis Miller

Saturday was one of those days when I couldn’t hit the ocean from the beach! I gave out one winner and one exacta and they came in the same race, so it was one of those days when you cashed in one of the eight races.

Well, the key to being a handicapper is a short memory when you hit a bad day, which means as of right now, Saturday is history as we turn all our attention to Sunday!

Let’s go cash some tickets today!

Race 1 (5-1/2 furlongs, 2:45 p.m. post): Starting off with an Arabian race! Madjestic (No. 1) already has a win over the track during this meet, beating Dream Pearl, a 16-time winner, by four lengths in the process. Arabian horses tend to run in streaks and this one looks in very good form right now for Terri Eaton. Dream Pearl (No. 4) just burned a ton of cash in her last start. Also from the Eaton barn, the 9-year-old took some time to get going last year and this being her second start of the year I am thinking better things are coming down the line. It will be interesting to see the odds this one goes off here. Prestons Lady (No. 6) is making her first start of the year for trainer Ron White. That means at least one start will be necessary to find her stride, but after a 2019 season with three wins and two seconds in 6 starts, she is worth of at least a look. My picks: 1-4-3.

Race 2 (One mile and 70 yards, 3:22 p.m.): This might be an interesting race to see how the form holds. Moon Rocket (No. 5) steps up here and gets in a non-winners of two by flying through the conditioning for races less than $10,000 don’t count. Three career wins in 19 starts and most importantly, has speed that has held at Golden Gate Fields, which should translate nicely here. Moonshine Annie (No. 2) is he favorite, but I have to step back when looking at that 2-28 career mark in wins. Does she have the talent in a relative way to this field? Sure, but it just seems like she doesn’t like to win races. Novella (No. 4) will be making its second start for the Jeff Bonde barn. Earlier in this meet she stumbled out of the gate, then proceeded to run an even a last-place fourth around the track. A clean break here will see the horse either on or pushing the pace. That could lead to a much run, but what gives me cause for pause is the horse seems to have been a disappointment throughout her career with only two wins in 12 starts. My picks: 5-2-4.

Race 3 (5-1/2 furlongs, 3:52 p.m.): Not a very strong field here which leads to my analysis that I am looking for a horse making a career low start. That’s Rob’s Got Game (No. 6) out of the Isidro Tamayo barn.  Tamayo claimed the horse after his last start and the barn hits at 31 percent for first start off a claim. In addition, this is a low mark as the tag has been cut in half here. The horse has two wins in 12 career starts, which as bad a percentage as some of the others. Askin’ for Trouble (No. 4) has four wins in 32 starts but does have speed and that could be a key at this level as it appears, he has a chance to run and hide from the field. Sierra Dance (No. 2) is 3-29 but has hit the board 5-of-7 over the dirt and does have a win over the Pleasanton track. Sierra Sunset is the sire and his offspring have shown a propensity to run well on dirt. My picks: 6-4-2.

Race 4 (5 furlongs, 4:22 p.m.): Got some babies running here as 2-year-old fillies . He will be taking to the track with four of the six making their debuts. In these cases, I will look for someone that has a start to their resume and here is find Jasmine Chieftain (No 4). Owned by Scott Herbertson and trained by Tamayo had a third here earlier. In that spot she broke slow, drifted during the race, yet still fought to get up ad hit the board. A better effort out of the gate here may be enough to get to the win. Lawyer Proof (No. 5) has to figure here with local owner Allen Aldrich teaming with trainer Quinn Howey. Aldrich loves to have horses run well in the town he grew up in. He could have picked other spots to make a debut, but they are here so, take a good look. Nova Star (No. 1) is worth a glance in her debut with the jockey/trainer connection of Kyle Frey and Andy Mathis. In the last two years they have hit a 38 percent clip.

Race 5 (6 furlongs, 4:52 p.m.): There are six horses in this race and it looks to me like a lot of them have a chance to win this. When I run into a race like this I try to find the best value play in the field. I am going to take shot with And Counting (No. 6). The horse won over this track earlier this meet after getting caught in a speed dual before drawing off, showing not just talent but heart. Francisco Duran is back to ride for Ed Moger. Galwalksintoabar (No. 2) comes off a race here in Pleasanton where she sat just off the pace and then blew by the field in the lane, winning by almost three lengths. Steps up a bit but seems well placed with these for trainer Steve Myadi. Point Hope (No. 1) is the enigma here. The horse has the board in 11-of-19 career starts (two wins) against tougher fields, but comes here never having raced on the dirt, with her five previous starts coming on the turf. Easily the career earnings leader of this group, this seems a bit perplexing of a placing. She could easily win for Blaine Wright and jockey David Lopez but I just think at 9/5 for the morning line, there are better options. My picks: 6-2-1.

Race 6 (1-1/16 miles, 5:22 p.m.): When I see a race like this for non-winners of two I have a system of looking for the horses that have not lost as many races as the others. Here that is Proud to Shoyu (No. 6) for Steve Sherman. The horse only has five starts and is coming off a maiden score in her last start. Obviously, this is a step up to face winners for the first time but with the rest of the field a combined 6-for-91, it’s not the toughest spot to step into. I think there are enough horses in this field that will try to push the pace that it could set up well for Kyle Frey to pick them off in the lane. Tooley Tunes (No.2) has shown speed at Golden Gate Fields before falling off late, but now comes to a track where the front-end speed holds better than that could end up keeping her in the hunt. Charlie’s Belle (No. 3) will make her first start on the dirt and continues to climb down the claiming ladder for Ellen Jackson Also will be another late runner. My picks: 6-2-3.

Race 7 (1-1/16 miles, 5:52 p.m.): The feature race of the day is a $25 optional claimer. Muralist (No. 1) makes the trip north for the race for trainer Dan Blacker. Here’s a key – if Blacker is on site for the race, hammer the horse. I have used tis in the past and it’s always paid off. If he stays down south, I think the horse still has enough to get it done. Only one win in six starts, but that came in his last start May 23 at Santa Anita. He had a great work on June 28 at Santa Anita, the followed with a maintenance work before shipping north. Kyle Frey takes the mount for Blacker. Time to Win (No. 2) was seventh in his last start, a run over the turf at GGF that I think you can draw a line through. Since then he has two big works for trainer Quinn Howey and this being his second start coming off a long break, he should be much better conditioned which I think is evident from the works. Cimple Man (No. 6) could be a bit of a surprise here but will add some value to the exotics. He hasn’t been on the dirt in over two years and is 0-for-2 over the surface, but this is an easier spot for the Jed Josephson runner who has some solid races against better fields. Perhaps not a potential winner but could add some spice to the exotics.

Race 8 (5-1/2 furlongs, 6:22 p.m.): Ending the day with a $5,000 maiden claimer usually has me heading to the parking lot, but now that I do most of my wagering from home, why not take a shot here! Flying Him (No. 2) has two starts, with both being okay and improvement shown in the second start for trainer Andy Mathis. A fourth-place debut where she showed speed then weakened was followed by a third-place finish where she had some late run. The first two finishers from that race have come to win in their next starts and this should the third to do so. Caribou Chianti (No. 3) is another that looks to fit here well. Finished second here earlier in the meet at the same level which makes the horse an obvious contender. Kevin Orozco returns to ride for trainer Jeff Maz. Lost Freedom (No. 6) debuted here June 28 and didn’t run a lick finishing last in a field of seven, beating 15 lengths for trainer Marcia Stortz. There is no where to go but up and I am looking for a much better performance here. This will add some spice to my exotics here. My picks: 2-3-6.

 

 

 

 

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