A Look At Saturday’s BC Pick 6 Races

2 Nov

By Lucky Kalanges

A carryover of almost $500,000 is on tap in today’s Breeders’ Cup program over races 7-12, so I decided to focus my attention on the last six races of today’s card.

Race 7 – BC Filly and Mare Turf

The crowd will be looking to get off cheap here with a single on #2 Sistercharlie (8/5) and with good reason. She enters on a 7-race winning streak and has won half of her six races at the mile and a quarter distance. Strictly the one to beat in here.

An intriguing alternative might be #4 Billesdon Brook (10/1) who ships in from the UK having won three of her last four, gets Lasix for the first time and will look to carry her recent success over 10 furlongs.

It’s also hard to ignore #7 Vasilika’s  (8/1) remarkable 11 for 12 lifetime record over the Santa Anita turf course.

Lastly, with the scratch of Sistercharlie’s rabbit, Thais, look for #5 Mirth (20/1) to get a loose lead and try to steal it at a huge price. Not entirely out of the question, as speed has been playing well over this course.

Picks: 2-7-5-4

Race 8 – BC Sprint

This one is shaping up to be an epic three-way battle between #1 Catalina Cruiser (4/1), #4 Mitole (9/5) and #6 Shancelot (4/1). The latter two figure to hook up in an early speed duel. Catalina Cruiser is unbeaten at the track and distance, but it was a far different surface more than a year ago.

Keep your eye on #2 Hog Creek Hustle (20/1), who will be trying to run them down late. He almost always out-runs his odds.

Going to hope to get a bit of a price on the outside horse, Shancelot, and hope Hog Creek can blow up the Exacta and/or Trifecta.

Picks 6-2-4-1

Race 9 – BC Mile

I see this race coming down to a battle between the filly #6 Got Stormy (7/2) and the mare #11 Uni (7/2), with the recent addition to the Chad Brown Barn #10 Without Parole (20/1) being a potentially upsetter. The latter has been a bit off form lately, but has battled the likes of Almond Eye and Roaring Lion in Group 1 company, and gets Lasix for his stateside debut.

Can’t argue with anyone who sides with #2 Lucullan (12/1) who is 3 for 4 this year and could get a good ground saving trip, or #8 El Tormenta (12/1), who looks to use his speed to complete a Woodbine Mile/BC Mile Double.

Picks 6-11-10-8

Race 10 – BC Distaff

Going to take a bit of a stab on the win-end here given the unique state of the tiring dirt surface at Santa Anita, and hope that #9 Serengeti Empress (12/1) is ready to roll today. She’s sporting an on/off pattern that is sitting on the “on” today, and a repeat effort of her runner up finish to Covefe two back could be good enough to run this field off its feet.

If she fails to fire, that could benefit #7 Secret Spice (10/1) who makes her first start going nine furlongs and has the speed to get to the front.

#4 Midnight Bisou (6/5) seeks to extend her winning streak to eight and is strictly the one to beat. She’s 3 for 4 with a second over this track, but I suspect its a much different surface than before, which makes be a little reluctant to swallow a short price in a big field.

The closer at a price is #11 Blue Prize (6/1) who’s 6 for 12 at the distance and enters second off a layoff, after running down a short field following a slow pace. She should get a lot more pace to chase today and could be a threat if she likes the surface.

Picks 9-11-4-7

Race 11 – BC Turf

This one is all about #9 Bricks and Mortar (9/5) who can secure HOY honors with a win here. He’s never been 12 furlongs before and that is the major question mark. Generally, the Europeans dominate this event, having won 8 of the last 10. Chad Brown seeks to buck that trend today.

#10 Old Persian (4/1) had his coming out party at Woodbine and might be ready to take on the potential champ for Charles Appleby.

#4 Mount Everest (15/1) gets Lasix for the first time and fulfills the “Euro at a price” angle for me.

#11 Arklow (12/1) tries hard every time and could boost the exotics prices.

Picks 9-10-4-11

Race 12 – BC Classic

With an unpredictable, tiring dirt surface, this is going to be a spread race for me and I’ll go with #7 Higher Power (6/1) to spring the upset. He never had a chance after stumbling at the start against McKinzie in his last, and could be tough to run down if he can get to the lead and relax under Flavien Prat.

McKinzie (3/1) is still the most logical choice as he’s super consistent, having won or finished second in his last seven starts, but his “signature win” remains elusive. This could be it today, but I am going to bet against him at an expected short price. And I’m not crazy about the jock switch to Rosario.

I’m a bit intrigued by #4 War of Will (20/1) and whether he could secure the lead from his inside post position. He doesn’t look fast enough on paper, but he a big, strapping lad could prove tough to run down if he’s left alone up front.

My closer at a price is #3 Owendale (15/1) who’s done nothing wrong leading into this race. He’ll have kick it up a notch, but has winning spirit and could save ground from the inside.

Lastly, #11 Code of Honor (4/1) is coming into this race in great form and could vie for favoritism with McKinzie. He can lock up top three-year-old honors with a win here.

Picks 7-8-3-11

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