Thursday’s P-Town Preview

27 Jun

After going a paltry 1 for 7 during last Thursday’s seminar with the only win coming in the mule race, I’ll be looking to rebound this Thursday, when I again take the stage with Dennis Miller and track announcer Chris Griffin for the pre-race handicapping seminar.
I did have a couple second choices run first at decent prices, so there’s that. Notably, Have Some Pride ($10.00) in the third, and Bombay All Day ($11.60) in the fifth. Although they were my second choices, and thus don’t really count as winners, they had the distinction of being the only double-digit prices on the entire card.
Let’s see if we can get some top choices home this week.

Race 1 – Mules, 300 Yards
Without the star Read My Lips in this heat, Thursday’s lid-lifter might be more wide open than usual.

3 –CHASE THE MONEY (2/1) is probably the quickest from the gate here and I’ll bank that this 10-year-old is ready off the layoff.

4 – IMAGE OF TOMAHAWK (6/1) has been chasing Read My Lips so far this meet and figures to make an impression without his nemesis in here.

5 – BAR JF EASY MONEY (5/2) encountered big trouble while making his late run in his first start of the year on opening day. I’ll hope his rally is late again at a short price.

Race 2 – Thoroughbreds, $2.5k Claiming, 1 mile and 70 yards

4 – WARRENS GOLDNUGGET (8/5) has a pace advantage in this heat being one of the few who wants to race on or near the lead, over a surface that has been playing well for speed types at the mile and 70 distance. 8-year-old mare takes the biggest class drop in the field, and McLean hits at 24% on the double-drop.

6 – KATIE LEE (4/1) sinks to bottom level claimers and makes her dirt debut. Speed figures suggest she’ll be competitive in here. If this four-year-old filly has something left, she needs to show it here.

3 – ESPERANZA’S MOBILE (5/2) arrives 3rd off a layoff, also dropping from 3,200 to 2,500. Ran second over this track and at this level last year.

Race 3 – Thoroughbreds, Claiming $6,250, 5 furlongs

3 – MANY LIGHTS (2/1) owns a win over this oval and is five for 10 at the five-furlong distance. Orozco up.

5 – XERNEAS (4/1) steps up off the claim by Marcia Stortz and figures to challenge my top choice for the lead. J.J. Hernandez in the saddle.

1 – POWER OF NINE (9/5) is hard to ignore based on speed figures alone, but has unenviable task of having to carve out a trip from the rail and potentially circle the field. Granted, the field is short, but I’ll take my chances standing against her.

Race 4 – Thoroughbreds, $10K Claiming, 1 mile and 70 yards

3 – CHAPTER TEN (2/1) just seems to have too many positives to ignore, starting with the drop in class from the $25K ranks, which nets trainer William Delia a 24% strike rate. Figures to sit just off the pace and pounce, and has won using that style before.

4 – TOP TIZZY (7/2) could be the speed of the field here, but should get heat from his immediate outside. Ran a strong race over this track against better last year.

5 – MISSIONELLE (3/1) also figures to be prominently placed early. Owns a win and third place finish over this oval. Trainer hits at 29% with all-weather to dirt runners.

Race 5 – Thoroughbreds, $5K Claiming, 5 ½ furlongs

6 – HONEYMOON’S OVER (7/2) gets the outside post and class drop, has enough early speed to be a factor. Josephson gets horses home at 20% in their first starts with him. New face is a big threat if he likes the track. Solid workout at GGF.

3 – HARPER’S GEM (6/1) has cleared the field at this level in his last two at Golden Gate. Owns a win, 2nd and 3rd over dirt in five tries. Might be able to take them all the way if my top choice fails to fire. Low profile connections ensure a decent price.

2 – OMACHE KID (9/5) is consistently in the money, but seldom get the top prize, which is why I’ll take a stand against him for the win.

Race 6 – Thoroughbreds, $10K Claiming, 1 mile and 70 yards

2 – ONE EYED ROBIN (4/1) switches to the Steiner barn which is striking at 34% after a claim. There is absolutely no speed in here, so this one could get a ground saving trip and have enough left to out finish the field. Top jock Hernandez is up.

1 – LIBERTY PARK (2/1) gets needed class relief after running on the dirt almost exclusively at Santa Anita. Could have a speed figure edge over this field, but has to overcome the rail, which has not been kind thus far. Martin getting winners home at a 32% clip at first asking.

6 – DOMENICO (3/1) won at first asking around two turns, which is impressive. Toss out the turf effort, and he just has the layoff to overcome. Antongeorgi takes the call for Sherman barn.

Race 7 – Thoroughbreds, $12.5k Maiden Claiming, 6 furlongs

9 CALIFORNIA COMET (3/1) has speed and dirt experience in SoCal. Moves to the Wong barn and gets instant class relief. Cap and gown time for this filly.

8 SURE MAGIC (6/1) enters off a 49-day break, but has decent speed figures over the Tapeta at Golden Gate. Slow breaks and lack of speed are a concern, but gets outside post from which to make her one-run. Should get some pace to chase here.

3 BOUNTY OF GOLD (6/1) has been clunking it up on the turf lately, but toss those efforts and she has shown decent early speed, which is preferable on the dirt surface. Rider upgrade give her some upside and what should be a decent price.

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