Know When to Fold ‘Em

8 Jun

By Lucky Kalanges

A few factors have led me to decide to pass on this year’s Belmont Stakes card, despite the fact it resembles a Spring Breeders’ Cup.

  1. My results over the Triple Crown season are a clear indication I cannot pick my nose right now.
  2. The three-week break between the Preakness and Belmont means that it doesn’t fall a day after payday.
  3. With the Pleasanton Racing meeting right around the corner, I need to keep some of my power dry to get through the summer.

Every horse player needs to make a periodic self-assessment, and adjust his or her play based what the data says. And right now it’s saying read it and weep.

For me, this means drastically reducing my play until I can prove to myself that I can have a profitable day or two. Resisting the urge to bet just because it’s a big day is not easy. These days are among the best to play if you are seeing things clearly. There’s more tourist money in the pools and the computer bettors are often less efficient on days when there’s a big collection of stakes races with a large fields of real contenders, like the Breeders’ Cup.

If I was going to play the Belmont Stakes, I’d take a close look at Tax (15/1). I think his clunker over the slop in the Kentucky Derby might be an aberration for a horse who’s finished no worse than third over a fast track. He should lay close to the pace and I think this son of Awesome Again has as good as shot as any to carry his speed the distance. I think he should be the third betting choice in the race, and his 15/1 morning-line might be an indication that he’ll be overlooked.

Live Racing Returns to Pleasanton with Great Deals on Opening Weekend

There’s plenty of reasons to be excited about the return of live racing to the historic one-mile oval at Pleasanton next Friday, June 14.

For one, admission to the Alameda County Fair will be FREE from 11am to 3pm on Opening Day. If you have family in tow, this is one of the best days to check out the Fair and catch the opening day card free-of-charge.

Next is the popular Brew Fest which takes place Saturday, June 15 in the Stella Artois Grandstand. You can bet the horses while sampling all the craft beer you can take for just $40, which includes Fair Admission if you purchase tickets in advance.

Click here to purchase tickets to the Beer Fest or the Beer Fest, Cocktail Fest and Wine Fest trio for just $75 total.

Finally, if you’re a Dad and missed out on opening day, or want to take in two days of live racing free-of-charge, come on down on Sunday, June 16, when all Dads get into the Fair FREE on Father’s Day until 5pm.

Keep in mind, the betting action at Pleasanton can be as profitable as anywhere. Last year’s Pick 5 averaged a robust payout of $3,925, and the Late Pick 4 returned an average of $720. Both can be played for a 50-cent minimum.

There’s money to be made at the home track if you can find the right horses.

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